Podcast: UBS’s Paul Donovan on 2026 outlook and the $80 trillion wealth transfer

Paul Donovan has a rare talent for making economics clear, engaging, and surprisingly relatable. As Global Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, he offers a direct, no-nonsense view of the key trends shaping the global economy today.

In this podcast, we discuss why women are set to hold more of the world’s wealth, what’s causing Europe to fall behind in innovation, and his frank take on whether crypto deserves a place in serious portfolios. We also look at the rise of AI, demographic changes, and what these shifts could mean for 2026.

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Photo by Cassandra Tanti

 

India and EU conclude historic free trade agreement after two decades of negotiations

India and the European Union signed a comprehensive free trade agreement on Tuesday, creating a trading bloc of two billion people after negotiations spanning more than 20 years.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi called it the “mother of all deals” at a signing ceremony in New Delhi with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President Antonio Costa. The agreement eliminates or reduces tariffs on almost 97% of European exports, saving up to €4 billion annually in duties, according to the EU.

Strategic partnership amid global tensions

Both sides framed the agreement as a buffer against economic pressure from the United States and China. “By combining these strengths, we reduce strategic dependencies, at a time when trade is increasingly weaponised,” von der Leyen said.

Modi emphasised the deal’s scale, noting it “represents about 25% of global GDP, and one-third of global trade.” Von der Leyen described it as “the most ambitious India had ever signed,” giving European companies a “first mover advantage” in the world’s most populous nation.

Major tariff reductions

Under the agreement, tariffs on cars will gradually fall from 110% to as low as 10%, while duties on wines drop from 150% to 20%. Tariffs on processed foods including pasta and chocolate, currently at 50%, will be eliminated.

European firms will gain access to Indian financial services and maritime transport markets. Von der Leyen said she expects exports to India to double, with the EU gaining “the highest level of access ever granted to a trade partner in the traditionally protected Indian market.”

For India, the deal will boost textiles, gems, jewellery, leather goods and services sectors, Modi said.

Sensitive sectors excluded

Sensitive agricultural products including beef, rice and sugar were excluded from the agreement. These sectors sparked farmer protests in Europe when included in the EU’s trade deal with South American bloc Mercosur.

Negotiations continued until Monday evening, with final discussions focusing on the impact of the EU’s carbon border tax on steel, according to sources familiar with the talks.

Growing bilateral trade

Bilateral trade in goods reached €120 billion in 2024, an increase of nearly 90% over the past decade, according to EU figures. Trade in services totalled a further €60 billion.

Germany’s finance minister Lars Klingbeil welcomed the agreement, saying it “creates new opportunities for growth and good jobs in Europe and India alike while deepening the strategic partnership with the world’s largest democracy.”

Additional agreements expected

India and the EU are also expected to conclude agreements facilitating movement for seasonal workers, students, researchers and highly skilled professionals, as well as a security and defence pact.

“We are not only making our economies stronger—we are also delivering security for our people in an increasingly insecure world,” von der Leyen said.

India is projected to become the fourth-largest economy this year, according to International Monetary Fund forecasts. New Delhi has been working to reduce its dependence on Russia for military hardware by diversifying imports and expanding domestic manufacturing, while Europe seeks to reduce reliance on the United States.

Von der Leyen and Costa attended India’s Republic Day parade on Monday as guests of honour before the trade agreement signing.

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Monaco celebrates Saint Dévote with Pontifical Mass and traditional procession

Prince Albert II and Princess Charlène attended a pontifical mass at Monaco Cathedral on January 27th for the celebrations of Saint Dévote.

The service was presided over by Cardinal Pierbattista Pizzaballa, the Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem, with Mayor Georges Marsan, members of the municipal council, and representatives from Monaco’s twin towns of Lucciana in Corsica and Dolceacqua in Italy in attendance.

The procession leaving Monaco’s Cathedral, photo credit: Stéphane Danna, Government Communications Department

Following the mass, a traditional procession carried the saint’s relics through the streets of Monaco Ville.

A large crowd of residents followed the procession as it made its way towards the Prince’s Palace.

The procession arriving at the Prince’s Palace, photo credit: Stéphane Danna, Government Communications Department

The Prince and Princess watched from the palace balcony as the procession passed below, before the relics were carried towards the side of the Rock overseeing the port for the blessing of the sea, a centuries-old tradition.

During the blessing of the sea, photo credit:photo credit: Stéphane Danna, Government Communications Department

After the procession, Mayor Georges Marsan hosted a reception at the town hall, bringing together officials and delegates from the twin towns to mark the occasion.

The two-day celebration had begun on Monday evening with the symbolic burning of a boat on Port Hercule, re-enacting the saint’s arrival by sea.

The festivities concluded with a candlelit spiritual concert at the Cathedral, featuring the Choir of Sartène, the Choir of the Papal Chapel of Assisi, and the Children’s Choir of the Rainier III Academy.

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Main photo credit: Stéphane Danna, Government Communications Department

 

Prince Albert and family lead Saint Dévote boat burning ritual at Port Hercule

The Princely Family joined hundreds of residents and visitors at Port Hercule on Monday 26th January for the traditional boat burning ceremony honouring Saint Dévote, Monaco’s patron saint.

Prince Albert II, Princess Charlène, Prince Jacques and Princess Gabriella participated in the annual ritual, which began with a mass celebrated in Monégasque at 10:30am at the Église Saint Dévote.

The evening celebrations commenced at approximately 6:30pm with a procession of the saint’s relics from the Chicane du Grand-Prix. Thousands followed the relics through the port toward the Église Saint Dévote before the ceremonial boat burning at Port Hercule.

During the evening’s procession, photo credit: Stéphane Danna, Government Communications Department 

Following the procession, the Princely Family attended solemn vespers at the church. After the service, Prince Albert II and Princess Charlène, alongside Prince Jacques and Princess Gabriella, greeted members of the public who had gathered outside.

The Family then returned to Port Hercule for the boat burning ceremony, assisting in lighting the symbolic barque as spectators watched the flames consume the vessel. The ritual commemorates the legend of Saint Dévote, a young Corsican martyr killed around AD 304, whose body is said to have arrived in Monaco by boat on 27th January.

The Princely Family and the public during the boat burning, photo credit: Kyriaki Topalidou, Monaco Life.

Delegations from Monaco’s twin cities, Lucciana and Dolceacqua, attended the ceremony alongside government members and representatives from the Mairie de Monaco. Corsican singers performed traditional melodies while the Musique Municipale provided musical accompaniment as the crowd watched the boat burn.

The evening concluded with a drone display over the port depicting the importance of Saint Dévote.

Drone display at Port Hercule, photo credit: Cassandra Tanti, Monaco Life.

Tuesday’s programme

A Pontifical Mass was held at Monaco Cathedral Tuesday morning, presided over by Cardinal Pierbattista Pizzaballa, Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem. A procession of the relics through Monaco-Ville will follow, including blessings of the Palace, the city and the sea.

A spiritual concert is scheduled for 6:30pm at the cathedral, featuring the Choir of Sartène, the Choir of the Papal Chapel of Assisi and the Académie Rainier III.

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Main photo credit: Direction de la Communication / Stéphane Danna

Monte-Carlo casinos named Best Overall Casino at European Casino Awards

Monte-Carlo’s two flagship casinos have taken home one of the top honours at this year’s European Casino Awards, with both the Casino de Monte-Carlo and the Casino Café de Paris named Best Overall Casino during a ceremony in Barcelona on 19th January.

The awards were held as part of the annual ICE gaming industry convention and organised by the European Casino Association. The Best Overall Casino prize recognises all-round excellence across several categories, including game variety, customer service, user experience and player safety.

This is the first time both Monaco casinos have received the title in the same year.

Speaking after the ceremony, Stéphane Valeri, President-Delegate of Monte-Carlo Société des Bains de Mer (SBM), said the award highlights the consistent work of the gaming teams: “The efforts deployed day and night by all our staff help keep Monte-Carlo at the forefront of the global gaming industry.”

A strong year for gaming in Monaco

The win follows a busy year for the Principality’s casino sector. In 2025, the Casino de Monte-Carlo recorded an 8% increase in visitors, while the Casino Café de Paris was up 7% over the same period. SBM’s loyalty programme, My Monte-Carlo, saw an 89% rise in new sign-ups.

The Casino Café de Paris hosted a number of large-scale events last year, including a 500-drone light show on Casino Square and the European launch of new machines from Aristocrat Gaming. A full renovation of the casino is expected to be completed by spring 2027.

At the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the opening of the Monte-Carlo Cigar Club in May added a new high-end offer for clientele. The club is located inside the historic office of SBM founder François Blanc.

Consistent international recognition

SBM’s casino operations have been recognised several times in recent years. In 2025, the Casino de Monte-Carlo won Best Customer Service, while the Casino Café de Paris picked up Best Live Entertainment. Both were also named Best Slot Team at the European Dealer Championship.

The Casino de Monte-Carlo previously won Best Overall Casino in 2022 and received Green Globe certification in 2025 for its efforts around sustainable and responsible gaming.

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Photo source: MCSBM

France to ban social media for under-15s by September, Macron announces

France will ban social media use for children under 15 and prohibit mobile phones in high schools, President Emmanuel Macron announced on Saturday, with the government aiming to have the measures in place before the start of the next school year in September.

“The brains of our children and adolescents are not for sale,” Macron said in a video released by French broadcaster BFMTV. “Their emotions are not for sale or to be manipulated, whether by American platforms or Chinese algorithms.”

Enforcement through age verification

The ban is being led by Laure Miller, a lawmaker from Macron’s Renaissance party, who told French parliamentary television that platforms currently allow users to “enter any date of birth and access the platform” without verification.

“What we want to impose on platforms, by strictly enforcing the European Digital Services Act, is real age verification when you access a social network,” Miller said. “That changes everything, because users will actually have to prove whether they are over or under-15.”

Miller acknowledged there will “always be ways” to circumvent restrictions but argued France should “at least put our foot in the door when it comes to protecting minors online.”

Following Australia’s lead

France joins a growing number of Western countries enacting legislation to safeguard young people from potential harms of social media. Australia implemented a landmark ban in December prohibiting under-16s from having accounts on Instagram, TikTok, Facebook and other platforms.

More than 4.7 million social media accounts deemed to be held by under-16s have been deactivated or removed in Australia since the ban, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said last month.

“We know that social harm is being caused, and therefore we have a responsibility as a government to respond to the pleas of parents and respond as well to the campaign of young people saying, just let us be kids,” Albanese told CNN when the ban was implemented.

UK considering similar measures

The British government announced days before Macron’s statement that it is considering a range of measures to keep children safe online, including banning social media use for under-16s.

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Photo credit: Solen Feyissa, Unsplash